Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.061724 0.069709 0.077973 0.087135 0.096981 0.107217 0.118637
2025-02-16 0.044877 0.056138 0.068540 0.083078 0.099518 0.117408 0.138219
2025-02-23 0.037266 0.050986 0.066920 0.086452 0.109419 0.135259 0.166220
2025-03-02 0.031704 0.047102 0.065851 0.089727 0.118713 0.152200 0.193247
2025-03-09 0.025159 0.040886 0.061018 0.087663 0.121038 0.160573 0.210066
2025-03-16 0.019759 0.035270 0.056158 0.084860 0.121877 0.166742 0.223969
2025-03-23 0.017538 0.033678 0.056266 0.088163 0.130159 0.181871 0.248676
2025-03-30 0.015310 0.031715 0.055585 0.090204 0.136696 0.194798 0.270749
2025-04-06 0.013735 0.030507 0.055777 0.093287 0.144516 0.209338 0.294903
2025-04-13 0.011606 0.028061 0.053904 0.093301 0.148135 0.218480 0.312331
2025-04-20 0.011236 0.028555 0.056406 0.099504 0.160114 0.238450 0.343563
2025-04-27 0.009309 0.025960 0.053922 0.098352 0.161975 0.245266 0.358125
2025-05-04 0.007989 0.024376 0.053035 0.099678 0.167553 0.257415 0.380209
2025-05-11 0.006456 0.022077 0.050791 0.098871 0.170150 0.265735 0.397600
2025-05-18 0.006060 0.022128 0.052492 0.104121 0.181422 0.285780 0.430466
2025-05-25 0.005563 0.021851 0.053575 0.108407 0.191362 0.304139 0.461304
2025-06-01 0.004324 0.019499 0.050729 0.106292 0.191883 0.309650 0.475209
2025-06-08 0.003204 0.017061 0.047426 0.103192 0.190765 0.312789 0.485903
2025-06-15 0.002913 0.016849 0.048324 0.106981 0.199903 0.330118 0.515601
2025-06-22 0.002527 0.016239 0.048370 0.109313 0.206862 0.344475 0.541426
2025-06-29 0.002277 0.015990 0.049110 0.112816 0.215625 0.361417 0.570845
2025-07-06 0.001816 0.014835 0.047865 0.112833 0.219031 0.370853 0.590190
2025-07-13 0.001850 0.015547 0.050611 0.119857 0.233307 0.395728 0.630612